Monday, November 12, 2012

Republicans: Where Do They Go Now?


Great discussion of Nate Silver's Electoral Analysis by Young Turks - video below.

They make the point that Nate made one mistake because he believed the "tipping point" state would be Ohio. This time that wasn't the case - it was Colorado. Even if Obama had lost the popular vote by losing Florida and Virginia, he still would have won the electoral college by winning Colorado. That's remarkable!

Cenk Uyger: Virginia went to President Obama by a larger margin than the president won the national popular vote. Which means that Virginia is more Democratic than the average state. . . . (The Republicans) have nowhere to go! They are up the creek and the paddle got left behind years ago.

Michael Shure: There are states now where the Democrats - we always say Arizona, but I think Arizona is a couple of election cycles away from the Democrats. But Nevada is now a blue state. It's a blue state because of the changing demographic there, the population. It's a union state. Retirees are going further south. It seems to me, even with the high unemployment in Nevada, that it's a blue state.

John Iadarola: Obama lost North Carolina to Romney by about two points, and by contrast, Al Gore, who won the popular vote, lost it by 13 points. So ...(Dems) are making massive inroads even there.

Nate Silver's 538 Blog with Chart (see below on this page)

Cenk Uygur, Michael Shure (political correspondent, TYT and Current TV) and John Iadarola (Host, TYT University) break down the numbers and discuss where the GOP could possibly go from this point, and what they can do.


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